Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000859 0.000977 0.001102 0.001244 0.001399 0.001564 0.001752
2024-12-22 0.000659 0.000821 0.001005 0.001225 0.001483 0.001771 0.002117
2024-12-29 0.000556 0.000736 0.000949 0.001217 0.001540 0.001915 0.002379
2025-01-05 0.000480 0.000672 0.000909 0.001217 0.001601 0.002059 0.002641
2025-01-12 0.000415 0.000612 0.000864 0.001202 0.001636 0.002166 0.002855
2025-01-19 0.000359 0.000557 0.000818 0.001180 0.001656 0.002252 0.003040
2025-01-26 0.000329 0.000533 0.000811 0.001204 0.001735 0.002410 0.003318
2025-02-02 0.000302 0.000510 0.000801 0.001224 0.001805 0.002557 0.003584
2025-02-09 0.000266 0.000470 0.000765 0.001204 0.001820 0.002631 0.003756
2025-02-16 0.000234 0.000433 0.000729 0.001181 0.001827 0.002693 0.003911
2025-02-23 0.000216 0.000415 0.000720 0.001194 0.001885 0.002822 0.004157
2025-03-02 0.000199 0.000398 0.000710 0.001206 0.001939 0.002948 0.004400
2025-03-09 0.000173 0.000364 0.000672 0.001174 0.001931 0.002989 0.004531
2025-03-16 0.000151 0.000332 0.000635 0.001141 0.001919 0.003022 0.004651
2025-03-23 0.000136 0.000314 0.000619 0.001138 0.001949 0.003116 0.004857
2025-03-30 0.000124 0.000297 0.000604 0.001136 0.001982 0.003213 0.005068
2025-04-06 0.000110 0.000278 0.000583 0.001123 0.001995 0.003280 0.005237
2025-04-13 0.000097 0.000257 0.000557 0.001101 0.001994 0.003327 0.005376
2025-04-20 0.000092 0.000252 0.000559 0.001125 0.002064 0.003479 0.005672
2025-04-27 0.000086 0.000246 0.000558 0.001143 0.002126 0.003621 0.005953
2025-05-04 0.000077 0.000229 0.000537 0.001125 0.002128 0.003670 0.006100
2025-05-11 0.000067 0.000212 0.000514 0.001102 0.002122 0.003707 0.006228
2025-05-18 0.000063 0.000206 0.000511 0.001115 0.002174 0.003835 0.006493